The 2025 F3 Championship arrives at Monza for its finale, and with it comes one of the most decisive moment of the F3 season. After nine rounds across iconic circuits—from Melbourne to Budapest—the championship has produced fierce racing, unpredictable drama, and contrasting fortunes across the paddock. Thirty drivers have taken to the grid, but, with Rafael Câmara having claimed the Drivers’ Championship in Budapest, the storylines have now converged on a singular battle. Only Trident and Campos Racing remain in contention for the Teams’ Championship.
Monza, with its long straights, historic slipstream battles, and notorious unpredictability, provides the perfect stage for a finale. For Trident, the Italian homecoming offers the chance to seal the crown in front of their supporters. For Campos Racing, it provides a last-gasp opportunity to overturn a 19-point deficit and upset the odds. Although the fight is confined to two teams, the journeys of the other outfits illustrate how the grid divided into tiers, setting the context for why Trident and Campos stand alone.
Trident: The home heroes in control
Trident stand as 2025 F3 Teams’ Championship leaders with 282 points, having demonstrated an approach that prioritised Sunday dominance. Their Sprint Race tally of 61 points is modest, averaging only 6.8 per weekend, but their Feature Race returns have been exceptional. With 221 points scored in the longer format, they average 24.6 per weekend, and 27.6 when Spa’s cancelled Feature is excluded.
This consistency underpins their campaign. Trident did not chase chaos in reversed-grid Sprints; instead, they focused on maximising results in the contests that mattered most. Their control of Sundays explains their position at the summit.
Furthermore, the Italian team now enter their home round with the added advantage of fan support and logistical familiarity. Monza carries both pressure and promise, but the numbers suggest that Trident need only deliver an average weekend to secure the championship.
Trident summary:
- Total Points: 282
- Points to Leader: 0
- Sprint Race Points: 61 (average 6.8)
- Feature Race Points: 221 (average 24.6; 27.6 excluding Spa)
Campos Racing: Sprint kings seeking a Sunday breakthrough
Campos Racing sit second with 263 points, 19 adrift. Their profile contrasts starkly with Trident’s. Campos thrive in Sprint Races, where they have collected 111 points, averaging more than 12 per weekend. Their ability to exploit reversed grids, deploy bold racecraft, and adapt to chaotic circumstances has given them an edge in shorter contests.
However, Campos faltered in the 2025 F3 Feature Races. With 152 points in total and a weekend average of just under 17 (19 when Spa is excluded), they trail Trident heavily in Sunday scoring. This gap defines the championship. Whereas Trident often leave weekends with a commanding total, Campos rely on Saturday strength but fail to back it up with consistent Sunday podiums.
To overturn the deficit, Campos must break that pattern at Monza. The task is daunting, but not impossible, as shown in Monaco. Monza’s slipstream battles, DRS trains, and tendency for late safety cars provide fertile ground for upsets. Campos have thrived in unpredictable races before, and they will need Monza to produce precisely that.
Campos Racing summary:
- Total Points: 263
- Points to Leader: 19
- Sprint Race Points: 111 (average 12.3)
- Feature Race Points: 152 (average 16.9; 19.0 excluding Spa)
MP Motorsport: Clear but distant third
MP Motorsport occupy third with 166 points. Though no longer in contention for the 2025 F3 Teams’ Championship[ title fight, their campaign deserves recognition for steady returns. With 65 points in Sprints and 101 in Features, they have delivered balance without brilliance. Their average of around 18 points per weekend (20 excluding Spa) reflects consistency but not title-contending explosiveness.
Their task at Monza is to defend third place and demonstrate pace that can serve as a springboard for 2026.
MP Motorsport summary:
- Total Points: 166
- Points to Leader: 116
- Sprint Race Points: 65 (average 7.2)
- Feature Race Points: 101 (average 11.2)
ART Grand Prix: Underperformance against pedigree
ART Grand Prix hold fourth with 144 points, but their record feels like underachievement given their pedigree. With 62 points in Sprints and 82 in Features, they have lacked consistency, particularly in the longer format. Their Feature Race average of 9.1 per weekend explains their inability to climb higher.
They enter Monza in a tight duel with Van Amersfoort Racing for fourth place, a fight that offers motivation even in a disappointing campaign.
ART Grand Prix summary:
- Total Points: 144
- Points to Leader: 138
- Sprint Race Points: 62 (average 6.9)
- Feature Race Points: 82 (average 9.1)
Van Amersfoort Racing: Shadowing ART
Van Amersfoort Racing trail ART by just eight points, holding 136 overall. Their scoring profile shows 42 from Sprints and 94 from Features. They average 15 points per weekend, or 17 excluding Spa, reflecting steadiness rather than highs.
Though their strongest F3 season so far, their lack of consistency in 2025 keeps them out of the Teams’ Championship fight. However, their pursuit of ART provides one of Monza’s quieter but compelling subplots.
Van Amersfoort Racing summary:
- Total Points: 136
- Points to Leader: 146
- Sprint Race Points: 42 (average 4.7)
- Feature Race Points: 94 (average 10.4; 11.8 excluding Spa)
Rodin Motorsport: In no-man’s land
Rodin Motorsport hold 108 points, firmly mid-table. With 37 points in Sprints and 71 in Features, they average around 12 per weekend. Too far from Van Amersfoort Racing and ART, but comfortably ahead of Hitech TGR, their season has been defined by inconsistency and mediocrity rather than momentum. At Monza, they will aim for individual race highlights rather than meaningful movements in the standings.
Rodin Motorsport summary:
- Total Points: 108
- Points to Leader: 174
- Sprint Race Points: 37 (average 4.1)
- Feature Race Points: 71 (average 7.9)
Hitech TGR: Sprint-heavy and Sunday-light
Hitech TGR sit seventh with 81 points, a tally built disproportionately on Sprint Races. They collected 46 points on Saturdays but just 35 on Sundays. Their inability to sustain pace across full-length Features has undermined their campaign.
They sit seventh, just ahead of Prema Racing, meaning their Monza goal centres on defending their place rather than advancing further.
Hitech TGR summary:
- Total Points: 81
- Points to Leader: 201
- Sprint Race Points: 46 (average 5.1)
- Feature Race Points: 35 (average 3.9)
Prema Racing: A collapse of expectations
Prema Racing, usually synonymous with junior formula success, have endured a disastrous year in the 2025 F3 Championship. With just 75 points, they find themselves eighth, a position that belies their pedigree. They scored 44 in Sprints but only 31 in Features, averaging a mere 3.4 per Sunday.
For the Italian team, Monza provides a chance for redemption, but their broader priority lies in regrouping for 2026.
Prema Racing summary:
- Total Points: 75
- Points to Leader: 207
- Sprint Race Points: 44 (average 4.9)
- Feature Race Points: 31 (average 3.4)
AIX Racing: A learning curve
After a turbulent season marked by multiple driver changes, AIX Racing conclude the season with 38 points. Their tally divides into 22 from Sprints and 16 from Features. Although their averages remain low, the experience gained will prove invaluable for the future.
Now into a new era, the 2025 F3 campaign was always about learning. Monza provides one last opportunity to add to the score while focusing on long-term growth.
AIX Racing summary:
- Total Points: 38
- Points to Leader: 244
- Sprint Race Points: 22 (average 2.4)
- Feature Race Points: 16 (average 1.8)
DAMS Lucas Oil: Searching for progress
DAMS Lucas Oil endured a difficult 2025 F3 season, collecting just 23 points across nine rounds. With 10 from Sprint Races and 13 from Features, their average remained extremely low at only 2.6 points per weekend. Their best return came at Silverstone, where they scored 13 points, but such results proved exceptions rather than the norm.
For much of the season, the team found themselves battling near the back of the grid, unable to consistently convert opportunities into points. Nevertheless, the campaign has offered important experience, and even small results will provide a platform for improvement.
At Monza, their objective is modest: add to their tally and finish the season with signs of progress. Much like AIX Racing, their 2025 journey has been about building foundations in the face of adversity.
DAMS Lucas Oil summary:
- Total Points: 23
- Points to Leader: 259
- Sprint Race Points: 10 (average 1.1)
- Feature Race Points: 13 (average 1.4)
- Best Weekend: Silverstone (13 points)
- Average Points per Weekend: 2.6
The Championship Fight: Trident vs Campos Racing
As the 2025 F3 Championship arrives at Monza, the mathematics has narrowed the Teams’ Championship title battle to just two protagonists: Trident and Campos Racing. The Italian team enters the finale with 282 points, holding a 19-point lead over their Spanish rivals, who sit on 263. For all the stories across the paddock this season—rookies learning their craft, powerhouse outfits stumbling, and midfield teams battling for pride—everything now converges on this head-to-head clash.
Trident enjoy the advantage, both numerically and statistically. Their consistency in Feature Races, the backbone of the championship, has given them the foundation on which their campaign rests. Campos Racing, by contrast, have lived by the sword of Sprint Race chaos, thriving in the unpredictability of Saturday grids yet struggling to carry that momentum into Sunday. The two teams embody opposing philosophies, and Monza will reveal which approach ultimately prevails.
Trident’s advantage: The Sunday Specialists
Trident’s strategy has been clear all season: focus on Sundays. The Feature Races award significantly more points than the Sprints, and Trident’s tally of 221 Feature points confirms their dominance. Their average return sits at 24.6 per weekend, and when Spa’s cancelled Feature is removed, that figure rises to an imposing 27.6. In practice, that means Trident have consistently left weekends with double-podium returns or high points across both cars.
Although they have not maximised reversed-grid Sprint opportunities—scoring just 61 points across nine weekends—the team’s approach has proven the smarter investment. By repeatedly delivering when the biggest prizes are available, Trident have built a margin that Campos have been unable to erase. Now, with the tifosi behind them at Monza, Trident enter the finale with confidence.
Campos Racing’s strength: Saturday supremacy
Campos Racing, meanwhile, have built their season around Sprint Race success. With 111 points in the shorter format—nearly double Trident’s tally—they have consistently turned midfield qualifying results into strong Saturday performances. Their drivers have shown aggression, opportunism, and the ability to exploit slipstream battles and safety car interventions to maximum effect.
However, their Feature Race record has undermined their challenge. With an average of just 16.9 points per weekend—or 19 excluding Spa—they fall nearly nine points short of Trident’s Sunday form. Over a season, that deficit accumulates, and the result is the 19-point gap that stands today. Campos now face the challenge of breaking this pattern. To overturn the margin, they must convert Monza’s high-speed chaos into not just another strong Sprint showing, but also their best Feature Race of the year.
Statistical Forecasts
The numbers paint a picture of how the 2025 F3 finale could unfold in the Teams’ Championship. By examining season averages, excluding Spa’s cancelled Feature, projections emerge that favour Trident.
- Trident average per weekend: 34.4 points
- Campos Racing average per weekend: 31.3 points
If both teams replicate those figures at Monza, the outcome becomes straightforward: Trident would add 34.4 to their total and finish with 316.4, while Campos would add 31.3 to reach 294.3. The projected margin stands at approximately 22 points, comfortably securing Trident the crown.
However, averages do not always define reality—especially at Monza. The Temple of Speed has a history of producing unpredictable races, where slipstreams compress the field, late safety cars shuffle positions, and a single misjudgement can cost multiple positions. The following scenarios outline the spectrum of possible outcomes.
Scenario Forecasts
1. Baseline Projection (Most Likely Scenario)
- Trident: ~34.4 points
- Campos Racing: ~31.3 points
- Projected Final Totals: Trident 316.4 vs Campos 294.3
- Outcome: Trident win by ~22 points
This scenario assumes both teams perform to their season-long averages. Trident’s superior Sunday pace cancels out Campos’ Sprint advantage, leaving the Italians in firm control. This outcome remains the most probable, as it mirrors the patterns established across nine rounds.
2. Campos Racing Best Case, Trident Worst Case
- Campos replicate their strongest weekend of 2025, scoring around 40–42 points through a dominant Sprint and a podium-heavy Feature.
- Trident endure their weakest weekend of the season, stumbling to around 15 points.
- Outcome: Campos overturn the 19-point deficit and snatch the title by approximately six points.
- Probability: Very low
This scenario represents the narrow window of opportunity available to Campos. To achieve it, they must not only overperform in both races but also rely on Trident enduring a collective failure. Given Trident’s consistency across the year, such a collapse seems unlikely.
3. Trident Best Case, Campos Racing Worst Case
- Trident deliver a dominant Feature weekend, securing both cars inside the top five and potentially winning the race for a ~45-point haul.
- Campos limp home with just ~10 points across the weekend.
- Outcome: Trident win the championship by more than 50 points.
- Probability: Moderate, given Trident’s proven Sunday form
This scenario highlights the danger facing Campos. Should Trident capitalise on their Sunday strength while Campos struggle, the championship could end not just with a Trident victory but with a commanding margin that underlines their dominance.
4. Most Likely Range
- Realistic swings of 10–15 points in either direction.
- With a 19-point cushion, Trident can afford a below-par weekend and still emerge champions.
In practice, this range reflects the natural variance of junior formula racing. Even if Campos outperform expectations, Trident’s buffer and consistency mean the Italian team remain in control of their destiny.
The verdict
Campos Racing have fought valiantly all season. Their mastery of Sprint Races has kept them in the 2025 F3 Teams’ Championship title hunt, their drivers seizing opportunities when chaos struck and reversed grids offered pathways forward. Their ability to thrive in volatility ensures they remain dangerous, especially at Monza, a track famous for unpredictability. If ever there was a circuit capable of delivering the perfect storm that Campos require, Monza is it.
Yet, the balance of evidence points firmly in Trident’s favour. Their ability to consistently score heavily in Feature Races—when the maximum points are available—has created a structural advantage. Even when they faltered on Saturdays, they made up ground on Sundays, week after week. The numbers say they need only an average performance to secure the title, and average is exactly what they have delivered all year long.
For Campos to prevail, they must achieve their best Feature Race result of the season and simultaneously rely on Trident producing their worst. It is possible, but highly improbable. Formula 3 thrives on drama, but rarely does it bend this far against the weight of statistics.
Therefore, as Monza prepares to welcome the championship decider, the fans anticipate celebration. Barring extraordinary circumstances, Trident are poised to claim the 2025 Teams’ Championship on home soil, sealing a season defined not by wild swings but by calculated excellence, Sunday strength, and relentless consistency. Campos may harbour hope, but Trident hold the keys to the crown.
